Service template

Evaluate creatives across their lifecycle

The illustrative team promotes apparent winners but does not link retest spend and later production margin to the same creative.

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Business result

Profitable scaled winners per dollar of total search cost.

Next step
Understand the cause
Working output
Project brief
Unit of analysis
Creative ID × launch attempt × setup × fixed D7 cohort
Decision owner
Creative Strategy Lead

Hypotheses and diagnostic checks

  • Create an attempt registry and compare promotion policies using as-of evidence.
  • Define a check that can answer: What did this attempt produce, versus the creative's later production history?
  • Define a check that can answer: Did candidates receive comparable exposure and equally completed outcome windows?
  • Define a check that can answer: Is later creative value counted only once across repeat launches?
  • Record the observation that would disprove each explanation.

Acceptance checks

  • Each promotion is linked to an identified attempt.
  • Cohorts have the same completed horizon; later value is not duplicated across ad sets.

Deliverables

  • A diagnosis with competing explanations and the next check
  • Agreed scope, source requirements, responsibilities and acceptance checks.
  • A working brief for a readiness and delivery conversation, not a completed investigation.