Field notes

Working notes on measurement, channel decisions and the evidence behind the next move.

Featured note incident diagnosis

Stop asking why CPI increased. Ask what moved it.

Decompose the movement, localize its contribution and remove most wrong explanations before opening a broad investigation.

Read the note
DECOMPOSE THE MOVEMENTΔlog(CPI)
+Δlog(CPM)
−Δlog(CTR)
−Δlog(CTI)
RANK CONTRIBUTION → LOCALIZE

All notes

NO.TOPIC / TITLEWHAT YOU'LL FINDDATE / READ
07
SATURATED EDGE

Can You Cut 15% From This Channel Without Losing Sales?

CUT EDGE / SMALLER EDGE / RETEST

02 AUG 2026
9 MIN
06
CHANNEL TRIAGE

Low ROAS Is Not a Cut Decision

ONE INVESTIGATION ROUTE

02 AUG 2026
8 MIN
05
RESPONSE CURVES

A Model Can Always Draw a Response Curve. Can Your Data Reveal One?

FIVE READINESS ROUTES

02 AUG 2026
9 MIN
04
MEASUREMENT

When Is Attribution Enough—and When Do You Need Incrementality or MMM?

MINIMUM NEXT CAPABILITY

01 AUG 2026
9 MIN
03
CHANNEL CUT

Attributed ROAS Fell. Should You Cut the Channel?

CREDIT VS BUSINESS LOSS

01 AUG 2026
8 MIN
02
CAUSAL CLAIM

Can Your MMM Support a Causal iROAS Claim?

SIX-GATE RELEASE

01 AUG 2026
10 MIN
01
INCIDENT DIAGNOSIS

Stop Asking Why CPI Increased. Ask What Moved It.

CONTRIBUTION ROUTE

01 AUG 2026
8 MIN